Friday, November 18, 2011

Primary Schedule and Delegates


By 1836

Rules affecting delegates:

Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada may begin their delegate selection primaries, caucuses, and conventions on Wednesday 1 February 2012. All other jurisdictions may begin their processes on the Tuesday 6 March 2012. Violating this directive results in 50% of the delegates to the national convention being stripped. Iowa's, Colorado's, Washington's, Minnesota's, and Maine's delegates are not tied to their caucus dates, so these states including Iowa will not suffer a 50% penalty despite holding caucuses before said dates.

ALL nominating states allocating delegates based on statewide vote prior to April 1, 2012 must allocate delegates PROPORTIONALLY.

DELEGATE TOTALS INCLUDES EFFECTS OF THE PENALTY
CAUCUS STATES ARE DENOTED AS SUCH
TOTAL DELEGATES AFTER PENALTIES: 2,287
PLEDGED DELEGATES: 1,784
UNPLEDGED DELEGATES: 503


DATE
STATE
DELEGATES
# PLEDGED/UNPLEDGED
Jan 3
Iowa
28 delegates (caucus)
28/0
Jan 10
New Hampshire
12 delegates
12/0
Jan 21
South Carolina
25 delegates
25/0
Jan 31
Florida
50 delegates
50/0
Late Jan
Louisiana
46 delegates
18/28*
Feb 4
Nevada
28 delegates (caucus)
25/3
Feb 4-11
Maine
24 delegates (caucus)
0/24
Feb 7
Colorado
36 delegates (caucus)
36/0
Feb 7
Minnesota
40 delegates (caucus)
0/40
Feb 28
Michigan
30 delegates
30/0
Feb 28
Arizona
29 delegates
29/0
Mar 3
Washington
43 delegates (caucus)
23/20
Mar 6
Alaska
27 delegates (caucus)
24/3
Mar 6
Georgia
76 delegates
76/0
Mar 6
Idaho
32 delegates (caucus)
32/0
Mar 6
Massachusetts
41 delegates
38/3
Mar 6
North Dakota
28 delegates (caucus)
0/28
Mar 6
Oklahoma
43 delegates
40/3
Mar 6
Tennessee
58 delegates
55/3
Mar 6
Texas
155 delegates
152/3
Mar 6
Vermont
17 delegates
17/0
Mar 6
Virginia
50 delegates
50/0
Mar 6-10
Wyoming
29 delegates (caucus)
0/29
Mar 10
Kansas
40 delegates (caucus)
40/0
Mar 10
U.S. Virgin Islands
9 delegates (caucus)
6/3
Mar 13
Alabama
50 delegates
47/3
Mar 13
Hawaii
20 delegates (caucus)
17/3
Mar 13
Mississippi
39 delegates
36/3
Mar 17
Missouri
52 delegates (caucus)
49/3
Mar 20
Illinois
69 delegates
56/13
Apr 3
Maryland
37 delegates
37/0
Apr 3
Washington, D.C.
19 delegates
16/3
Apr 3
Wisconsin
42 delegates
42/0
Apr 24
Connecticut
28 delegates
25/3
Apr 24
Delaware
17 delegates
17/0
Apr 24
New York
95 delegates
81/14
Apr 24
Pennsylvania
72 delegates
0/72
Apr 24
Rhode Island
19 delegates
16/3
May 8
Indiana
46 delegates
27/19
May 8
North Carolina
55 delegates
55/0
May 8
West Virginia
31 delegates
28/3
May 15
Nebraska
35 delegates
32/3
May 15
Oregon
29 delegates
26/3
May 22
Arkansas
36 delegates
33/3
May 22
Kentucky
45 delegates
42/3
June 5
California
172 delegates
169/3
June 5
Montana
26 delegates
0/26
June 5
New Jersey
50 delegates
50/0
June 5
South Dakota
28 delegates
25/3
June 12
Ohio
66 delegates
0/66
June 26
Utah
40 delegates
40/0




TBA:




American Samoa
9 delegates


Guam
9 delegates


N. Mariana Islands
9 delegates


Puerto Rico
23 delegates



Notes:
* Louisiana has a somewhat confusing Caucus-then-Primary process to select delegates, the caucus being some as-yet-announced time in late January and the primary being on March 24. Unpledged delegates may be allocated to a candidate on the basis of the primary vote if the candidate receive more than 25% of the vote in the primary on Mar. 24, otherwise they are unpledged. (Republican Party of Louisiana, State Convention Rule 20b)

Open Primaries/Caucuses
(Where Independents and Democrats Can Vote)

Open primaries and caucuses offer us the best opportunity to take advantage of Ron Paul's popularity with independent voters. Below is the list of open primaries and caucuses, to be updated as necessary.

Alabama
Arkansas
Georgia
Hawaii (caucus)
Idaho (caucus)
Indiana
Iowa* (caucus)
Massachusetts**
Michigan
Minnesota (caucus)
Mississippi
Missouri (caucus)
New Hampshire
North Dakota (caucus)
Ohio***
South Carolina
Tennessee
Texas
Vermont
Virginia
Washington (caucus)
Wisconsin

*Iowa caucus open to anyone who wants to register Republican at the caucus location
**Massachusetts primary open to unaffiliated voters, not Democrats
***Ohio primary allows voter to change registration at the polling place by completing a statement confirming the change in his/her political party affiliation (source)

18 Key States for Ron Paul Getting Delegates
Along with some predictions of how we might realistically be able to fare. I am not excluding Nevada or Iowa because they are not important. But in terms of delegate counts, they won't hold a candle to many others. Iowa and Nevada will have already occurred, and for any of the following to be relevant, we have to do fairly well in the earliest states. That isn't what this analysis is fundamentally about. We all know that to win the nomination, we have to do well in January.

Maine - Caucus state. At this point in the process, early February, you'd expect there to be no more than three candidates. Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and someone else. Given that, it is reasonable to expect that Ron Paul would be able to win a high percentage (perhaps as high as 50%+) in the low-turnout Maine caucus. But it gets more interesting. ALL of the 24 Maine delegates are UNPLEDGED. Therefore, if Ron Paul supporters are well organized, we might get even more than that – perhaps a solid majority of these delegates. At this early point, we could expect perhaps 12 delegates out of Maine.

Colorado - Caucus state. Although all delegates here are pledged, there are 36 of them. Even if we only get 33%, that is 12 delegates. But again, the caucus format is good for us. We can perhaps hope for as many as half, or 18.

Minnesota - Caucus state, 40 delegates and all of them UNPLEDGED. This state is critical, and that's doubtless why the Ron Paul campaign set up an office there. If good organization exists, we could reap the benefits of this poorly-attended caucus. We might get as many as 30 delegates out of here. Huge state, the most important for us before Super Tuesday

Washington - Caucus state. 43 delegates, 20 unpledged. That means that we can expect to do very well anyway, in addition to the added bonus of organization turning out some extra numbers of unpledged delegates through the party process. Let's say 25 delegates from here.

Alaska - Low turnout caucus state, on Super Tuesday. Critical win if we are getting the nomination. 27 delegates, 24 pledged, and we can feel confident to win most of them. Let's say 15 delegates here.

Georgia - Super Tuesday Primary, 76 pledged delegates. Unlikely we would win here, especially if either Newt or Cain is still in it (both from Georgia). But in a three way race, we might get 15 delegates.

Idaho - Caucus state, Super Tuesday, 32 pledged delegates. Same assumptions apply... we should be able to pull off half. 16 delegates at minimum.

North Dakota - Caucus state, Super Tuesday, 28 UNPLEDGED delegates. Another important state for us. We can hope to get a large number of delegates via strong organization, perhaps as many as 20.

Texas - Second biggest state, primary, Super Tuesday. Mitt unpopular here. Depending on who is left, Ron could do well. Regardless, this is an important state. Almost all delegates are pledged of the 155 total. We ought to be able to get 50 delegates.

Wyoming - Caucus state, all 29 unpledged, right after Super Tuesday. We could pull off 20 delegates here.

Kansas - Caucus state, 40 pledged delegates. We could get half, 20 delegates.

Missouri - Biggest caucus state, Mar 17. 52 delegates. At this point in the process, if there are still 3 candidates, we should be able to get around half of the delegates, 26.

Illinois - Primary state, Mar. 20. 56 pledged plus 13 unpledged. If we can get a majority of the unpledged, and do decently well in the primary, we could leave with at least 20 delegates.

Louisiana - Caucus-then-primary state, caucus being in late January, primary Mar 24. 46 delegates, 28 unpledged. Strong organization could yield a majority of the unpledged, in addition to whatever showing in the primary. Louisiana has complicated rules for delegate allocation which can be seen in the footnote below the delegate schedule. However, one would expect our strong organization to pull off a good showing overall. We should hope for 25 here.

New York - Primary state, Apr. 24, which is the second big primary day on the schedule. 81 pledged plus 14 unpledged. A decent showing and good organization might get us as many as 35 delegates. A realistic scenario for that would be to get 31% of the primary vote (25 delegates) and 10 of the 14 unpledged.

Pennsylvania - Primary, Apr. 24. Believe it or not, Pennsylvania could end up being a top priority as the nomination wears on. That's because although this is a primary state, ALL 72 of its delegates are UNPLEDGED. With strong organization, we might get as many as half of them, or even more. Let's say 36 delegates.

California - Primary, June 5. If we are going to win this thing, it will come down to the wire. California has 172 delegates, almost all of which are pledged. But we may show well here. Regardless, we can at least expect 50 delegates, whether it is a two or a three man race at this point.

Ohio - Primary, June 12. Second to last primary. All 66 delegates are unpledged, making this a top organizational priority if we are going to win. With strong organization, we could win at least half through the process, so let's say 33.

Remember the delegate totals:
TOTAL DELEGATES AFTER PENALTIES: 2,287
PLEDGED DELEGATES: 1,784
UNPLEDGED DELEGATES: 503

NEEDED TO WIN THE NOMINATION: 1,144

The 18 States that add up
If Ron Paul were to do as well as I posit in these 18 key states, a realistic scenario if the campaign goes fairly well, then he picks up 466 delegates, or 40.7% of the total he needs to win the nomination. That may seem like a ridiculous figure, but it actually isn't: given our strong organizational and hard support base advantages, it is realistic if the nomination is going fairly well. It doesn't by any means assume that we are dominating. Actually, this scenario only gives Ron Paul 42.3% of the delegates from these 18 states. Given the strengths of the organization and support, I think that's wholly realistic.

Given these 18 states: Ron Paul has 466 delegates

In order to win the nomination, Ron Paul then needs 678 more delegates. Where do they come from?

The Other Primaries

There are 1,185 delegates left in the pool of delegates. 678 is a staggering 61.5% of that figure. It is extremely unlikely that Ron Paul will do that well in the remaining states, almost all of which are primaries. How well might he do?

If we give Ron Paul an average 30% of the vote, which is very realistic for these primary states in a three way race and certainly modest in a two-way race, then he picks up 355 additional delegates. A wild card is how delegates are allocated, which isn't by any means decided. But for the purposes of analysis here, it is reasonable to assume they are allocated proportionally (and a number of them are). Even if it is winner-take-all, the assumption is not unrealistic, because you would figure that with around 30% of the primary votes Ron Paul would be winning some of those states, even if not many.

Given 30% of the vote in the other contests: Ron Paul then has 821 delegates

That total still leaves us 323 delegates short. Where will those delegates come from?

One could certainly say, "well, we just do better than what you are saying we will do." Okay, that's one scenario. It is certainly possible that in the caucus states, we could do better. But what if we don't? Remember, I'm assuming that Ron is only able to compete in most of these states, but by no means to win. I'm assuming that caucus states are our best bet and that even there, we aren't completely dominating. This is not intended to be an "unrealistic" scenario by any means.

The Remaining Delegates

The remaining delegates will come from other candidates that drop out of the race. This is because when a candidate has won pledged delegates, those candidates become unpledged and free to vote for whomever they choose at the convention after their candidate drops out and releases them. That candidate may not officially release his or her delegates until the convention, or it may be the moment they drop out. But most likely, unless the candidate held a very large number of delegates that could prevail in a brokered convention (more on that in a moment), they will release their delegates.

My assumptions to this point have been that this will be a three-way-race after South Carolina headed to Super Tuesday, and that after that, possibly only a two-way race between Ron Paul and some frontrunner X. It may in fact be that the three-way race goes all the way through the nomination battle to the convention, or that it goes through the April 24 primaries. Let's take a look at three possible scenarios.

NOTE: Each of these scenarios assumes that there are at least 4 candidates through to the Florida primary. I think that is very realistic. NONE of these scenarios do not work if you replace "third candidate x" with "third and fourth candidates" because a 3rd and fourth candidate could easily take the same number of delegates and then release them as I assume a third to.

Scenario 1: Three Way Race Through Super Tuesday
If a three way race persists through Super Tuesday, then by its very nature you would expect a third candidate to take around a third of the votes. Perhaps less, perhaps more. I think it is entirely reasonable that this would be the case, however, given that through Florida, you will have more than three candidates and in the case of Super Tuesday, a likely third candidate would have a serious shot of winning Georgia over Romney and Paul (Cain or Gingrich).

The primaries/caucuses from Jan 3 to Mar 6 have a total of 842 delegates. When looking at the 18 states, we gave Ron Paul only 201 of the 846 delegates in these states, because we didn't include all of the states and the ones we did, we assumed as realistically as possible.

If a third candidate/other candidates who drop out before Super Tuesday can be assigned 30% of the total delegates from these states, which is realistic, then we can say those other candidates have 253 delegates. That is not enough for Ron Paul to win the nomination, even if most of the unpledged delegates who had worked through the process were Ron Paul supporters. Giving Ron Paul a realistic half of these newly unpledged delegates only gets him to 127. Adding that to the aforementioned total of 821, and we are at 948, still 196 short of the 1,144 we need.

HOWEVER. If, at that point, the third candidate were to drop out, as this scenario implies, then we would likely fare better than 30% in the remaining states. The "key 18" of the remaining states only gave Ron Paul 265 delegates out of their total of 641, but that is out of the rest of the entirety of the states remaining, which is out of a total of 1445.

Therefore, 1445-641 = 804 delegates up for grabs in those remaining contests not spelled out in the "key 18" analysis.

We previously gave Ron Paul 30% of that total, which equates to 241 delegates out of the 804.

What happens if Ron Paul is able to garner 40% of the total? In that case, he wins an additional 80 delegates, putting him at a total delegate count of 1028. But that's still short of 1,144.

What if he garners half? Then he gains another 160 delegates, a total of 402 out of the 804, and is at 1,108. STILL short of 1,144. In order for Ron Paul to win under this scenario, given our 18-state predictions and the reality of the race, he would need to get another 196 delegates, or a total of 54.4% of the delegates remaining.

I do not see that as likely against Romney. Therefore, we have to bet that under this scenario of a three-way-race through Super Tuesday, Ron Paul would need to do fairly well in the remaining primaries (around 40% of the primaries, at least) and have a larger number of the unpledged released delegates.


Scenario 2: Three Way Race Through Apr. 24

The next big primary date after Super Tuesday is April 24. it includes New York and Pennsylvania, among others. What happens if there is a three-way race through then? There are only 709 delegates left after April 24, so this is about two-thirds of the way through.

If the third candidate (plus others) are again assumed to get 30% of the states through April 24, then that is out of 1578 delegates = 473 delegates. Hey, now we're talking serious numbers.

For the primaries through April 24, we assumed Ron Paul would get in the 18 key states covered up until then (that is, every key state but California and Ohio, both of which vote later) 383 delegates out of 864 total delegates in those states.

We also assumed 30% of the vote in the other states, which are composed of 714 delegates (1578-864key=714), so through April 24 we assume Ron Paul has 214 from those states.


If the third candidate drops out after Apr. 24, given organizational effort to achieve half their unpledged delegates, that is 237 delegates. Adding that to our previous figure derived from all the primaries of 821, we get 1058. Much closer than before.

If Ron Paul outperforms in the remaining states, and gets a few more unpledged delegates, or performs better in the previous contests, it becomes more reasonable to say he gets to 1144 without a hitch. Because at that point, we are only 86 short.


Scenario 3: Brokered Convention

This one is tough. That is because it is hard to say whose delegates would go where.

A brokered convention means that we would have at least two candidates go into the convention with sizable pluralities but neither a majority, or perhaps three candidates do very well and have large numbers.

We could assume that if it were three candidates, it might be Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and either Gingrich or Cain or Perry. If Ron Paul does as well as we assumed him to do, he has 821 delegates through the process itself, with 30% of the vote in non-key-delegate states and 466 delegates from the others.

If Ron Paul goes into the convention with 821, or 35.9% of the delegates,

and Mitt Romney goes in with 880, or 38.4% of the delegates,

and Third Candidate (Perry/Cain/Romney) plus the others go in with 586, or 25.6% of the delegates,

then it really starts to get interesting. Remember, you need 1,144 to win.

At that point, someone has to give. Sometime or another. Several interesting things could occur, none of which could be easily predicted, and not all of which are positive. However, such is the nature of a brokered convention: it's dirty.

1. Third Candidate drops out, Ron Paul picks up a 323 of the released delegates, and wins.

2. Third Candidate drops out, Romney picks up 264 of the released delegates, and wins.

3. Romney drops out, Third candidate picks up vast majority of Romney's delegates plus other candidates'.

4. Romney drops out, Ron Paul picks up some of Romney's delegates (323 only, remember) plus others' and wins.

5. Balloting goes on and on until state party rules either release delegates or delegates change their minds and their votes. In this case, all hell breaks loose, but this is where organization really benefits Ron Paul. Because in reality, a number of "Romney delegates" can be Paul supporters who got through the process. Once their state rules release them at the national convention, they could vote for Ron Paul. However, if they are bound to vote for Romney, their votes go to him regardless.


Conclusion

Of course, none of this is set in stone. These numbers could end up being way off, and I hope Ron Paul does much better than these predictions.

However, I hope you'll take a few things away from this.

1. It is possible for Ron Paul to win given delegate numbers alone.
2. It is going to be hard for Ron Paul to win.
3. We have to do everything in our power to get this man elected, because he is the most liberty-minded candidate with a real chance of getting elected who has ever stood for election to the office of president in modern times. It is, indeed, possible. But only if we work for it.

Hopefully these numbers give you an idea of the daunting task we face, but a bit of optimism that with the right organization and amount of work, that it could be done.

Phew.

Sunday, November 13, 2011

"Ron Paul's Plans are Too Extreme"

By Dan Beaulieu





 "I am an imperfect messenger, but the message is perfect"  –  Ron Paul



One thing is certain of Dr. Ron Paul, he is not a sound-bite candidate. That is, he often speaks over the heads of voters which causes a lack of understanding. It is in my personal opinion that Ron Paul cannot be understood in the 30 seconds allocated to him in debates. His ideas must be studied; however, once one does understand Dr. Paul, they often stick around.

For this reason I present to you my series:  

Understanding Ron Paul



"Is Ron Paul Too Extreme?"

An argument I encounter time and again is that Ron Paul’s fiscal plan is just too extreme to accept. To those who subscribe to such a notion I offer the burden of knowledge, because without question you don’t understand the urgency of the matter.  Not unlike the frog who boils himself to death when the water in the pot is gradually brought to a boil. We have long been blind to the subtle changes around us which, like the frog, will ensure our own doom. Economically, we are nearing the boiling point; a precipice.

The Road to Hyper-Inflation

It began upon the installation of the Federal Reserve central bank in 1913, which introduced government micromanipulation of our money supply; or Keynesian economics. This greatly accelerated in 1971 when America unceremoniously departed from the gold standard at the behest of then Chairmen of the Federal Reserve Arthur Burns in an effort to introduce elasticity to the money supply. This gave the private Federal Reserve an unlimited ability to expand our money supply along with unlimited secrecy.

Furthermore it allowed the Fed to interject the business cycle to make economic booms last longer, which in turn caused the recessions last longer. The Federal Reserve does this by way of inflation (inflation is the act of injecting money into the money supply resulting in the depreciation of the dollar). Despite the Fed’s efforts to prop the boom, the presence of the real market restricts the boom from perpetuity, that is, every period of economic euphoria must be respected by an equal period of economic misery.

The great bubble was largely attributed to the bad policies of Alan Greenspan who was the chairman of the Federal Reserve from 1987 until 2006. Greenspan intervened in the recession that should’ve followed the dot-com bubble. Instead of accepting the natural recession that should have occurred in 2001, the Fed began expanding the Housing Market. This didn’t negate the previous bubble; it merely stalled it by creating a bigger bubble. The Fed arrogantly continued its efforts to stop recession through low interest rates and actual interest rates fell below historical averages. At that point the Fed had abandoned all monetary rules in attempts to prop the market.

The housing market collapsed as a direct result of government intervening in the business cycle. In January of 2001, Alan Greenspan slashed the federal fund targets from 6.5% all the way down to 1% by June 2003. He fixed the rates at an artificial low of 1% for a full year, which encouraged tremendous bad investments and caused a massive expansion of the bubble. Then, by June of 2006, Greenspan had raised it back to 5.25%, a move that popped the bubble and unleashed the havoc of three overdue recessions.

However the unforgiving travesty has truly occurred since the financial market collapse in 2008. Instead of taking the needed hands off approach by letting the market correct itself, we have continued with the Keynesian manipulation of the business cycle with Ben Bernanke’s quantitative easing efforts (now inflating the student loan bubble). What’s worse is we have now become addicted to a hyper-accelerated devaluation of the dollar through the immense injection of money from the TARP bailouts, secret handouts  by the Fed (here and here) and Obama’s continued bailout efforts, most of which we haven’t experience the effects of yet, but we will. All of this injected money has resulted in dramatic devaluation of the dollar (see graph).



Hyper-Inflation

Is it really so hard to imagine inflation of our dollar on the level that Zimbabwe experienced in recent years? Zimbabwe had subscribed to the same monetary model that we use; central economic planning and Keynesian micromanipulation, and in recent years experienced inflation of 23,000,000%. We need to wake up to the warning signals before it is too late. As the crisis gets worse our Federal Reserve will work harder to prop the market, just as the Central Bank of Zimbabwe did and the Central Bank of Germany did with the German Mark in the 1920s. The devaluation is exponential, meaning at first the inflation will go unnoticed, though, once it is notice able it will be much to late to stop. Compare graphs, notice a similarity? (please listen to the audio file at the end of this article for a deeper understanding of how hyper-inflation happens.)



Extreme Measures for Extreme Times

So you might still be asking yourself, “Why administer such extreme cuts? If the problem is inflation then why don’t we just go back to a gold standard and avoid the loss of federal jobs?” The answer is simply because we cannot afford to. The elasticity of our dollar has led us to a predilection to over-spending, it is a reality that we currently spend much more than our government takes in. Raising taxes to meet that demand would be devastating to our private sector as consumer spending would be reduced, the need for production would drop, followed by the demand for workers. 

It should be noted that these cuts must apply to our militarism in order for us to return to fiscal sanity. We cannot have such a presence in the Middle East while in financial chaos, it's simply impractical and damaging to our recovery. It should be noted that it was only possible to afford such military expansion through our elastic money supply and deficit spending, both of which we must do away with. With a sound currency this type of foreign policy would not be possible, though, nor would be possible noticeable depressions and recessions. But fret not, those of you who lust for militarism, Ron Paul’s budget of $500 billion per year will still far exceed that of any other countries military budget. To be sure, we will reign in our military either way  either by choice or, like Rome, by collapse.

Ron Paul’s plan would not bring us back to the Stone Age, nor back to Colonial Times. His plan would reduce spending back to 2006 levels while balancing the budget by 2016. Paul's plan would also guarantee that we never have a crisis like this again which is not a bad exchange if you ask me. It would come with about a year of necessary short lived agony, but we must be adults and take the medicine or risk total hyper-inflation and a world wide financial collapse. After the markets correct themselves we would, without doubt, experience greater prosperity than we’ve experienced in the last 100 years. We would no longer succumb to the hidden inflationary tax nor would we be tricked into malinvestment by the Fed. Most of all, our dollar would remain the reserve currency of the world, which provides us many benefits that we take for granted. Only Ron Paul's plan offers us this and only Paul's plan will work.

Ron Paul was right in his predictions predating the market collapse of 2008, and he is right now.
(predictions: 1983, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2007)



For a deeper understanding on why we must change our monitary policy please listen to this audio from one of Ron Paul's mentors, Murray Rothbard, titled "Economic Depressions: Their Cause and Cure".


 

Back to Understanding Ron Paul Index




Saturday, November 12, 2011

Ron Paul National Campaign Chairman Blasts CBS News


SPARTANBURG, S.C. – Ron Paul 2012 National Campaign Chairman Jesse Benton released the following statement concerning the CBS / National Journal Republican debate:

“Ron Paul consistently polls among the top three in the key early voting states of Iowa and New Hampshire.  He is polling in double digits in most respected polls.

“Congressman Paul is ranked among the top three in fundraising results.

“Congressman Paul serves on the House Foreign Relations Committee.

“Congressman Paul is a veteran.

“And, Congressman Paul has contrasting views on foreign policy that many Americans find worthy of inquiry and discussion.

“CBS's treatment of Congressman Paul is disgraceful, especially given that tonight’s debate centered on foreign policy and national security.

“Congressman Paul was only allocated 90 seconds of speaking in one televised hour.  If we are to have an authentic national conversation on issues such as security and defense, we can and must do better to ensure that all voices are heard.

“CBS News, in their arrogance, may think they can choose the next president. Fortunately, the people of Iowa, New Hampshire, and across America get to vote and not the media elites.”

blog.4president.org/

Monday, November 7, 2011

Understanding Ron Paul: "Is Ron Paul Racist?"

 By Dan Beaulieu


"I am an imperfect messenger, but the message is perfect"    
–  Ron Paul



One thing is certain of Dr. Ron Paul, he is not a sound-bite candidate. That is, he often speaks over the heads of voters which causes a lack of understanding. It is in my personal opinion that Ron Paul cannot be understood in the 30 seconds allocated to him in debates. His ideas must be studied; however, once one does understand Dr. Paul, they often stick around.

For this reason I present to you my series: 

Understanding Ron Paul


The Racism Charge

I strongly considered writing an in depth essay in light of several recent arguments I have had that revolved around the notion that Ron Paul is somehow racist, I decided against such a document as I think it would be affording the topic too much merit. It deserves none. These claims merely emerged due to bias from contenders that disagree with him ideologically in unrelated topics. Instead, as reference for people found in similar arguments, I offer a brief catalog of evidence that proves the notion as simply childish partisan attempts on his character.

Please do research and judge for yourself, here's a few bullet points to study and several videos to watch. One from Ron Paul himself who deserves the right to respond to such allegations.
  • Two of Ron Paul's heros are Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. & Rosa Parks
  • He voted "No" for Rosa Parks to receive a Congressional Gold Medal, not because he thought that she didn't deserve it or because he is racist but because it went against his principals to take money from the tax payers to buy the medal. Instead Ron Paul offered to chip in his own money with other congressmen to pay for her a medal. This often gets twisted by the media.
  • Delivered many minority babies free of charge during a time when racism still strongly existed.
  • NAACP President Nelson Linder dismissed allegations that Ron Paul is racist. (video)
  • Louis Farrakhan supports Ron Paul. (video)  
      Ron Paul Newsletters
      Here is a great and thorough resource regarding the "racist" Ron Paul Newsletters: Paul Newsletters FAQ


      In his own words:


      A great compilation



      NAACP Austin branch pres talks about Ron Paul.



      NAACP Nelson Linder speaks on Ron Paul and racism.



      Ron Paul defends minorities.



      Ron Paul defends blacks.



      Is Ron Paul Racist?



      Back to Understanding Ron Paul Index


      Saturday, November 5, 2011

      Herman Cain: Seriously America? Do we have ANY Standards?





       By Dan Beaulieu




      Its simply amazing that people can be so shallow... so immoral that they actually support this ACT. He doesn't understand foreign or monetary policy. His lack of knowledge is absolutely alarming... but perhaps this man is all Americans deserve if they are not willing to hold these politicians to higher standards. The world is facing economic crisis and Herman Cain thinks everything's a joke.

      RED FLAGS we should've noticed:

      *pokemon reference
      *Ubeki-beki-beki-beki-stan-stan
      *Lies... a lot
      *abortion flip-flopping
      *supported TARP bailouts; inflation
      *proudly oblivious to foreign policy
      *proudly ignorant of basic economics
      *his campaign comercials
      *shallow speaking
      *9-9-9 plan and SimCity
      *everything's a joke!

      WAKE UP YOUR BEING FOOLED!




      Herman Cain Exposed: The Federal Reserve
      Herman Cain Exposed: The Patriot Act
      Herman Cain Exposed: The 9-9-9 Plan
      Herman Cain Exposed: Aquila Disaster
      Herman Cain Exposed: Lied to America... Twice!
      Herman Cain Exposed: Economically Incompetent
      Herman Cain Exposed: Immigration & Border Control
      Herman Cain Exposed: Why You Cant Run Government Like a Business


      Tuesday, November 1, 2011

      Ron Paul: Bring Them Home (Support Them Now) | Money Bomb 11.11.11


      RON PAUL

      THE MILITARY'S CHOICE
      Why are the top three contributors to Ron Paul's campaign the US Army, US Navy and the US Air Force? Ron Paul receives more military donations than all the other GOP presidential candidates, and President Obama combined. As an air force veteran, Ron Paul not only understands what it means to serve his country, but he also understands the costs of an adventurous foreign policy. Both the blood and treasure of a nation are exhausted in a time of war, and Ron Paul is the only one who has been consistent in his support of a non-interventionist foreign policy for decades.

      On November 11, 2011, thousands of average Americans, Veterans and military all across the country, will donate to the "Support Them Now" Veterans Day Money Bomb to honor Ron Paul for his service to this nation, as well as his admirable principles that have earned him the title of the "Champion of the Constitution." It's time to bring the troops home.

      This is your chance to make a difference. Please pledge to donate at least $100 to the Veterans Day "Support Them Now" Money Bomb by signing up to the left. Our goal is to collect 17,000 pledges, the same amount of pledges we collected on the $4.3 million November 5th Money Bomb in 2007. On November 11, please only donate at
      RonPaul2012.com.

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